STRATEGI RUSIA DALAM OPERASI MILITER KHUSUS KE UKRAINA TAHUN 2021-2023
Abstract
Konflik Rusia-Ukraina yang memuncak dalam Operasi Militer Khusus Rusia tahun 2021-2023 merupakan respons terhadap ekspansi NATO ke Eropa Timur dan upaya Ukraina untuk bergabung dalam aliansi tersebut, yang dianggap Rusia sebagai ancaman langsung terhadap keamanan nasionalnya. Berdasarkan teori realisme neoklasik, kebijakan luar negeri Rusia dipengaruhi oleh kombinasi struktur internasional dan faktor domestik, termasuk persepsi pemimpin. Dalam kerangka confrontation strategy dari John P. Lovell, penelitian ini menganalisis strategi agresif Rusia dalam menghadapi ancaman eksternal. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Rusia menerapkan strategi konfrontatif melalui pengerahan pasukan di perbatasan Ukraina, serangan multi-front, modernisasi militer melalui State Armament Program (GPV-2027), penangguhan partisipasi dalam perjanjian New START, serta penguatan kerja sama militer dengan negara mitra. Langkah-langkah ini mencerminkan upaya Rusia untuk mempertahankan pengaruhnya di kawasan, sekaligus sebagai respons terhadap tekanan Barat
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