DINAMIKA HUBUNGAN KEAMANAN INDIA–PAKISTAN DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KEAMANAN REGIONAL DI ASIA SELATAN
Abstract
This study analyzes the dynamics of security relations between India and Pakistan and their impact on regional security in South Asia. Since their partition in 1947, the two countries have continuously faced tensions rooted in the Kashmir territorial dispute, nuclear rivalry, terrorism issues, and regional geopolitical factors. Using a qualitative phenomenological approach, this research collected data through in-depth interviews, observations, and documentation studies. The analysis was conducted using theoretical frameworks encompassing neorealism, national interest theory, the concept of deterrence, the Regional Security Complex (RSC), Balance of Power, and interdependence theory. The findings indicate that during the 2019–2023 period, India–Pakistan relations were marked by military escalation in Kashmir, India’s revocation of Kashmir’s autonomy through the abrogation of Article 370, military modernization that intensified the arms race, and the involvement of external factors such as the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project. The impacts on regional security include the threat of nuclear conflict, an increase in refugees, the spread of cross-border terrorism, and economic instability. This study concludes that sustainable solutions require diplomatic dialogue, multilateral conflict management, and enhanced inclusive regional cooperation.
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